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Bought Deal vs Marketed Offering: Speed, Discount, and Execution Risk
A bought deal is an equity sale where the underwriter buys the entire offering from the issuer at a firm price before any investor marketing, then resells the stock at its own risk. A marketed offering runs the opposite way: the underwriter gauges demand first, then prices after a multi-day roadshow. The choice between them is the central strategic decision in almost every follow-on offering.
Key Takeaways
- In a bought deal the underwriter commits to buy the entire offering at a firm price overnight, transferring execution risk to the bank in exchange for a wider discount than a marketed deal.
- Research consistently shows bought deals carry smaller fees and smaller final discounts than firm-commitment marketed offerings, because the bank bids knowing it will place successfully.
- Every extra day of marketing in a marketed offering carries real headline risk; a bad macro print during a three-day roadshow can pull the deal or force a materially lower price.
- A confident management team typically picks the bought deal to lock in proceeds; a team expecting roadshow momentum to lift demand selects the marketed path.
Key Takeaways
- In a bought deal the underwriter commits to buy the entire offering at a firm price overnight, transferring execution risk to the bank in exchange for a wider discount than a marketed deal.
- Research consistently shows bought deals carry smaller fees and smaller final discounts than firm-commitment marketed offerings, because the bank bids knowing it will place successfully.
- Every extra day of marketing in a marketed offering carries real headline risk; a bad macro print during a three-day roadshow can pull the deal or force a materially lower price.
- A confident management team typically picks the bought deal to lock in proceeds; a team expecting roadshow momentum to lift demand selects the marketed path.
What It Is
In a bought deal, the underwriter, usually a single bank or a tight two-handed syndicate, commits to purchase a fixed number of shares at a fixed price, disclosed the same evening. The issuer walks away with guaranteed proceeds. The bank owns the inventory and resells it to institutional accounts overnight or over the next several days.
In a marketed offering, the deal is announced with a preliminary prospectus and a price range. The syndicate spends two to four days collecting indications of interest through a roadshow or a series of calls. Price is set at the end of the marketing period once the book is built. The bank takes real financing risk only at the moment of pricing, and even then on a firm-commitment basis with a much narrower window.
The Intuition
Issuers pick between the two based on which risk they would rather bear. A bought deal transfers financing risk, the risk that the market will not absorb the shares at a workable price, onto the bank. In exchange, the issuer accepts a wider discount and usually less optionality on deal size. A marketed offering keeps financing risk with the issuer but generally lets the issuer clear a larger size and a tighter discount when market conditions cooperate.
Speed is the second axis. Bought deals close in a single overnight session. Marketed offerings require three to five days of exposure to headline risk, during which a bad macro print, an adverse sector story, or simply weak demand can pull the deal.
How It Works
The bought-deal sequence is short. An issuer calls a bank after the market close. The bank quotes a firm price for a specified size within an hour, subject to a brief documentation process. If the issuer accepts, both sides sign a letter agreement and the bank takes on the position. The transaction is announced that evening, the prospectus supplement is filed, and the bank distributes shares to institutional buyers through the next day.
The marketed sequence is longer. The issuer and bankers file a preliminary prospectus supplement, launch the deal in the morning, and conduct a roadshow for two to four days. Orders come in through the syndicate book. At launch-plus-N, the bankers and the issuer agree on the final price and size inside the announced range. Pricing happens after the close, and distribution runs the next day.
Research has consistently found that bought deals carry smaller discounts and smaller fees than firm-commitment marketed offerings, a pattern documented in academic work on Canadian and US seasoned equity issuance.
Worked Example
Assume an issuer trading at $30.00 wants to raise roughly $300 million in fresh equity. Two quotes come in that evening.
Bank A offers a bought deal at $28.80 for 10.4 million shares, a 4 percent discount to the last close, fully underwritten, announce tonight. Bank A's fee is 3.5 percent of gross proceeds, or approximately $10.5 million. The issuer's proceeds are fixed at about $290 million after fees.
Bank B proposes a marketed follow-on with a preliminary range of $28.50 to $29.25, targeting a three-day roadshow and a 4.5 percent gross spread. If the book prices at the midpoint of $28.88 for 10.4 million shares, proceeds after fees are approximately $287 million. If demand is strong, the deal could clear at the top of the range for $290 million net, but if conditions deteriorate during marketing, the deal might be priced at $28.50 or pulled entirely.
The issuer picks between certainty and upside. A confident management team that wants to minimize execution risk usually takes the bought deal. A team that believes the story will improve during the roadshow usually takes the marketed path.
Common Mistakes
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Equating a bought deal with a better price. The bought deal looks cheap because fees are lower, but the discount to the last close is usually wider than what a smooth marketed deal would produce. The right comparison is total net proceeds, not the headline discount.
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Treating marketing as free optionality. Every extra day in the market carries real risk. Deals get pulled, news breaks, and a marketed follow-on that fails to price can damage the issuer's access to capital for months.
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Missing the syndicate economics. Bought deals concentrate fees with one or two banks. Marketed deals spread economics across a larger syndicate. That affects which research desks cover the issuer post-deal and which sales forces support the stock.
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Assuming bought deals only happen in resource sectors. The format is common in Canadian equity markets but is also standard practice for US overnight financings in biotech, financials, and real estate. The structure is a financing tool, not a sector signal.
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Overlooking the no-shop implications. The bank offering a bought deal usually requires exclusivity for a short period. Issuers that quietly shop the same deal across multiple banks risk losing the bid or being blackballed on later transactions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is a bought deal vs marketed offering in simple terms? In a bought deal, the bank agrees tonight to buy the entire block of shares at a set price, so the issuer has guaranteed money before anyone else sees the deal. In a marketed offering, the bank takes indications of interest from institutions over several days and only commits to buy when the book is covered, the issuer waits to know the price.
Q: How does the bought deal vs marketed choice affect investment decisions? A bought deal tells you the bank had high conviction, it risked its own balance sheet. A marketed deal that struggled to price at the bottom of its range tells you institutional demand was weak during the roadshow, which can signal that the issuer's story is not landing. The pricing relative to the range carries more information than the announced discount.
Q: What is a real-world example of a bought deal vs marketed offering? An issuer at $30 received a bought deal at $28.80 (4% discount, 3.5% fee) and a marketed alternative at $28.50–$29.25 range with 4.5% fee. The certain net proceeds from the bought deal were $290 million. The marketed deal might clear at $290 million in a strong tape but risked pricing at $287 million or being pulled entirely.
Q: How can investors use knowledge of bought deal vs marketed mechanics? When a company opts for a bought deal rather than marketing to investors, that choice suggests management or the bank believes the demand window is narrow and speed matters more than optimizing pricing. That urgency can itself be a data point about the issuer's financial position or competitive context.
Q: How is a bought deal different from a block trade? Both are fast transactions priced after market close, but a block trade involves existing shareholders selling, no new shares, no dilution, no issuer proceeds. A bought deal involves the issuer selling newly issued shares to raise capital, creating dilution. The bank's role is similar in both, but the capital-structure impact is opposite.
Sources
- Corporate Finance Institute. "Bought Deal." https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/equities/bought-deal/
- Pandes, J.A. (2010). "Bought Deals: The Value of Underwriter Certification in Seasoned Equity Offerings." Journal of Banking and Finance. http://www.aripandes.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Pandes.JBF_2010.pdf
- Latham and Watkins. "The Book of Jargon: US Corporate and Bank Finance." https://www.lw.com/en/book-of-jargon-pages/capital-markets-and-bank-finance
- Investing News Network. "Private Placements Explained: Bought Deal vs. Best Efforts." https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/bought-deal-best-efforts-private-placement-brokered-nonbrokered/
Disclaimer
This article is educational content only and is not financial advice. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.